A Study of Subcutaneous C.E.R.A. for the Treatment of Anemia in Pre-Dialysis Patients.
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 10% for any early termination, 2% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 10% of the time (139 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2010-03-31, after 2008-05-31 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2010-03-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
-
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: chronicdialysismonthstimerenal
Phrases that lowered it: patientsthe efficacyarmopen labelsafety -
Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
-
Sponsor's past termination rate: 11.1% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Has a data monitoring committee: not given (lowers risk) · Design
-
Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 181 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
-
Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 14.6% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
-
Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Sponsor's past trials: 144 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
-
Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- not given (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 144 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 11.1% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 181 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 3 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 7273 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 2028 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 73.7% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 14.6% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- hematology
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- epoetin, erythropoietin, polyethylene glycol
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- A Study of Subcutaneous C.E.R.A. for the Maintenance of Hemoglobin Levels in Participants With Chronic Renal Anemia Not on Dialysis. NCT00642304 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 21% of active trials completed
- A Study of Monthly Subcutaneous Mircera for the Treatment of Chronic Renal Anemia in Predialysis Patients Not Treated With ESA. NCT00661388 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 16% of active trials completed
- A Study of Subcutaneous Mircera in Participants With Chronic Kidney Disease Not Treated With ESA or on Dialysis NCT00559637 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 16% of active trials completed
- A Study of Monthly Subcutaneous (SC) Mircera for Maintenance Treatment of Participants With Chronic Kidney Disease on Peritoneal Dialysis NCT00737477 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 23% of active trials completed
- A Study of Monthly Subcutaneous Continuous Erythropoietin Receptor Activator (CERA) in Predialysis Participants With Chronic Renal Anemia NCT00773968 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 21% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.