Saracatinib in Treating Patients With Locally Advanced or Metastatic Stomach or Gastroesophageal Junction Cancer
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 17% for any early termination, 4% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 22% of the time (376 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2012-04-30, after 2008-01-31 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2012-04-30. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: metastaticdiseaseconcurrentlocallychemotherapy
Phrases that lowered it: antiretroviraldays beforeaminotransferasetrial20 -
Sponsor's past termination rate: 2.7% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
-
Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
-
Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
-
Sponsor's past trials: 224 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 284 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Blinding: none (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- government (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 224 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 2.7% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 284 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 0 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- No (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 0 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 0 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- no FAERS history (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- no FAERS history (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, digestive
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- saracatinib
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Saracatinib in Treating Patients With Previously Treated Metastatic Pancreatic Cancer NCT00735917 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 64% of active trials completed
- AZD0530 to Treat Recurrent Stage IIIB/IV NSCLC Previously Treated With Combination Chemotherapy NCT00638937 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 69% of active trials completed
- Saracatinib in Treating Patients With Relapsed or Refractory Thymoma or Thymic Cancer NCT00718809 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 70% of active trials terminated
- Trial of AZD5363 Plus Paclitaxel /AZD2014 Plus Paclitaxel in Biomarker Negative (PIK3CA/MEK/RAS/TP53/MET) Gastric Adenocarcinoma Patients as Second-line Chemotherapy NCT02449655 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 41% of active trials terminated
- Study of AZD5363 in Combination With Paclitaxel, in Advanced Gastric Adenocarcinoma Patients Harboring PIK3CA Mutation and/or PIK3CA Amplification as a Second-line Chemotherapy NCT02451956 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 47% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.