Study to Investigate the Analgesic Efficacy of a Single Dose of AZD1940
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 7% for any early termination, 2% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 13% of the time (1,304 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2008-05-31, after 2008-02-29 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2008-05-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: painpatientsdiseasenonsurgical
Phrases that lowered it: healthysingle doseeffectobjectivesto investigate -
Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
-
Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 225 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Blinding: triple (raises risk) · Design
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Maximum age: 45 (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 8.5% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Number of arms: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 80.5% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- triple (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 2 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 45 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- Yes (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 374 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 7.5% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 225 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 6465 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 1735 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 80.5% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 8.5% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- none of the 14 tracked areas
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- naproxen
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Study to Investigate the Analgesic Efficacy of a Single Dose of AZD1386 NCT00672646 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 8% of active trials completed
- Analgesic Effect of Different Combinations of Dexketoprofen Trometamol With Tramadol Hydrochloride in a Model of Moderate to Severe Pain NCT01307020 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 7% of active trials completed
- Study To Evaluate Efficacy And Safety Of An Additional Dose Of Celecoxib (YM177) In Patients With Post-Tooth Extraction Pain NCT01062113 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 12% of active trials completed
- Efficacy and Pharmacokinetic-Pharmacodynamic Relationship of Intranasally Administered Sufentanil, Ketamine, and CT001 NCT05508594 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 7% of active trials completed
- Ibuprofen/Acetaminophen Versus Nurofen Plus® and Panadeine® Extra Dental Pain Study NCT01229449 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 6% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.