Travoprost New Formulations in Patients With Open-Angle Glaucoma or Ocular Hypertension
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 9% for any early termination, 2% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 13% of the time (1,304 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2008-09-30, after 2008-04-30 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2008-09-30. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
-
Sponsor's past termination rate: 3.2% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: retinalprotocoldegenerationmay applycriteria may
Phrases that lowered it: open angleocular hypertensionangle glaucomaiopvehicle -
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
-
Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
-
Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 64 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
-
Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
-
Number of arms: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
-
Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 2.0% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
-
Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Sponsor's past trials: 62 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 86.4% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Drug's FAERS reports before start: 147 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- double (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 3 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 62 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 3.2% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 64 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 147 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 24 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 86.4% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 2.0% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- none of the 14 tracked areas
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- travoprost
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Travoprost 3-Month Safety and Efficacy Study NCT01453855 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 12% of active trials completed
- Efficacy Study of Travoprost APS Versus TRAVATAN NCT00848536 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 18% of active trials completed
- Safety and Efficacy of Travoprost/Timolol BAC-free NCT00760539 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 8% of active trials completed
- A Phase III Study of Travoprost/Timolol Combination in Patients With Open-Angle Glaucoma or Ocular Hypertension NCT00672997 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 9% of active trials completed
- Divided Dose of TRAVATAN® NCT01298687 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 14% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.