Effects of Intracoronary Progenitor Cell Therapy on Coronary Flow Reserve After Acute MI
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 25% for any early termination, 14% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 17% of the time (106 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Terminated on 2015-12-31, after 2008-09-30 start.
Reason given by the sponsor: “enrollment”
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2015-12-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: cellmg dlcoronarymyocardialinfarction
Phrases that lowered it: clinicaldisorderbleedingstudy30 -
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Sponsor's past termination rate: 14.3% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Blinding: quadruple (lowers risk) · Design
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Phase: 1/2 (raises risk) · Design
-
Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Disease area, cardiovascular: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Maximum age: 80 (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Responsible party: principal investigator (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past trials: 7 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Number of arms: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1/2 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- quadruple (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- principal investigator (typical: sponsor)
- Collaborators
- 1 (typical: 0)
- Keywords listed
- 4 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 80 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 7 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 14.3% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 6 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 0 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- No (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 0 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 0 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- no FAERS history (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- no FAERS history (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cardiovascular
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- none matched
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- NBS10 (Also Known as AMR-001) Versus Placebo Post ST Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction NCT01495364 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 98% of active trials completed
- Use of Adult Autologous Stem Cells in Treating People Who Have Had a Heart Attack (The TIME Study) NCT00684021 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 94% of active trials completed
- STem cElls Mobilization in Acute Myocardial Infarction Outcome Trial NCT01969890 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 70% of active trials terminated
- Intramyocardial Transplantation of Bone Marrow Stem Cells in Addition to Coronary Artery Bypass Graft (CABG) Surgery NCT00950274 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 74% of active trials terminated
- Use of Adult Autologous Stem Cells in Treating People 2 to 3 Weeks After Having a Heart Attack (The Late TIME Study) NCT00684060 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 95% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.