Allogeneic Multipotent Stromal Cell Treatment for Acute Kidney Injury Following Cardiac Surgery

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 27% for any early termination, 9% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 5% of the time (233 trials).

Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2013-10-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: coronarypatientspatientcellcardiac
  Phrases that lowered it: clinical trialdays beforecopdhistory65
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past termination rate: no earlier finished trials (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 0 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
• Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Keywords listed: 1 (raises risk) · Design

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Ilofotase Alfa for Prevention of Renal Damage After Cardiac Surgery NCT06168799 · started 2023 · scored riskier than 68% of active trials completed
• A Safety and Efficacy Trial of Multiple Dosing Regimens of ABT-719 for the Prevention of Acute Kidney Injury in Subjects Undergoing High Risk Cardiac Surgery NCT01777165 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 60% of active trials completed
• Efficacy and Safety of RMC-035 in Subjects at High Risk for Acute Kidney Injury Following Open-Chest Cardiac Surgery NCT05126303 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 87% of active trials terminated
• A Study to Evaluate RMC-035 in Subjects Undergoing Cardiac Surgery NCT04829916 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 80% of active trials completed
• A Study to Evaluate the Efficacy and Safety of GDC-8264 in Preventing Cardiac Surgery-Associated Acute Kidney Injury (AKI) and Major Adverse Kidney Events (MAKE) NCT06602453 · started 2025 · scored riskier than 62% of active trials terminated

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.