Combination Chemotherapy, Donor Stem Cell Transplant, Tacrolimus, Mycophenolate Mofetil, and Cyclophosphamide in Treating Patients With Hematologic Cancer
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 32% for any early termination, 12% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 26% of the time (3,728 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2012-04-30, after 2008-10-31 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2012-04-30. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: lymphomastagehodgkincellfollicular
Phrases that lowered it: secondaryadultmgresponsesymptoms -
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Sponsor's past termination rate: no earlier finished trials (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 25.8% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 95.7% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 1 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Keywords listed: 54 (raises risk) · Design
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Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Blinding: none (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Maximum age: 60 (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Sponsor's past trials: 0 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Responsible party: sponsor (lowers risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports before start: 22498 (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 54 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 60 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 0 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- no earlier finished trials (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 1 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 6 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 22498 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 6979 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 95.7% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 25.8% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, immunology, hematology
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- busulfan, cyclophosphamide, fludarabine, mycophenolate mofetil, mycophenolic acid, tacrolimus
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Donor Stem Cell Transplant in Treating Patients With Relapsed Hematologic Malignancies or Secondary Myelodysplasia Previously Treated With High-Dose Chemotherapy and Autologous Stem Cell Transplant NCT01118013 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 43% of active trials terminated
- Reduced-Intensity Busulfan and Fludarabine With or Without Antithymocyte Globulin Followed by Donor Stem Cell Transplant in Treating Patients With Hematologic Cancer or Other Disease NCT00448201 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 99% of active trials completed
- Partially HLA-Matched Irradiated Allogeneic Cellular Therapy After Reduced Intensity Total Body Irradiation NCT00996359 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 98% of active trials terminated
- Reduced-intensity, Related-donor Bone Marrow Transplantation Followed by High-dose Cyclophosphamide for Hematologic Cancers NCT01135329 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 92% of active trials terminated
- Donor Natural Killer Cells After Donor Stem Cell Transplant in Treating Patients With Advanced Cancer NCT00823524 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 79% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.