An Extension of Study Fx-005 Evaluating Long-Term Safety And Clinical Outcomes Of Fx-1006A In Patients With Transthyretin Amyloid Polyneuropathy

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 21% for any early termination, 2% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 21% of the time (63 trials).

Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2010-10-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: patientextension studylabel extensiontolerabilityeye
  Phrases that lowered it: clinicalopen labelvisitonce dailyintended
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 14.7% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Phase: 2/3 (raises risk) · Design
• Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 271 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Disease area, psychiatry: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Drug's FAERS reports before start: 0 (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months: 0 (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Disease area, neurology: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Blinding: none (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past trials: 416 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Maximum age: 75 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Keywords listed: 11 (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Disease area, metabolic: Yes (lowers risk) · Disease area

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Safety And Efficacy Evaluation Of Fx-1006a In Patients With V122i Or Wild-Type Transthyretin (TTR) Amyloid Cardiomyopathy NCT00935012 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 61% of active trials completed
• Safety And Efficacy Evaluation Of Fx-1006A In Subjects With Transthyretin Amyloidosis NCT00925002 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 63% of active trials completed
• The Effects of Fx-1006A on Transthyretin Stabilization and Clinical Outcome Measures in Patients With Non-V30M Transthyretin Amyloidosis NCT00630864 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 82% of active trials completed
• The Effects Of Fx-1006A On Transthyretin Stabilization And Clinical Outcome Measures In Patients With V122I Or Wild-Type TTR Amyloid Cardiomyopathy NCT00694161 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 72% of active trials completed
• An Open Label Extension Study in Subjects With Fragile X Syndrome NCT01555333 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 84% of active trials terminated

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.