Safety and Efficacy of BI 1744 CL in Patients With Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease I
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 5% for any early termination, 1% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 6% of the time (528 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: pulmonaryulnpatientshearttherapy
Phrases that lowered it: inhalervisitasthmafev1and safety -
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Minimum age: 40 (lowers risk) · Who can join
-
Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
-
Sponsor's past termination rate: 5% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 7.2% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Responsible party: not given (raises risk) · Design
-
Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
-
Has a data monitoring committee: not given (lowers risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
-
Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Number of arms: 4 (lowers risk) · Design
-
Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 70.8% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 181 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Blinding: double (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 4 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- double (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- not given (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- not given (typical: sponsor)
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 40 (typical: 18)
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 80 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 5% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 181 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 2289 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 1198 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 70.8% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 7.2% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- respiratory
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- formoterol, olodaterol
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Safety and Efficacy of BI 1744 CL in Patients With Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease II NCT00796653 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 6% of active trials completed
- 12 / 48 Week Pivotal PFT vs PBO in COPD I NCT00782210 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 4% of active trials completed
- 12 / 48 wk Pivotal PFT vs PBO in COPD II NCT00782509 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 6% of active trials completed
- Characterization of 24 Hour Spirometry Profiles of Inhaled BI 1744 CL and Inhaled Tiotropium Bromide in Patients With Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease NCT01040689 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 7% of active trials completed
- BI 1744 CL With Respimat Once Daily Versus Twice Daily in COPD NCT00846768 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 7% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.