Efficacy and Tolerance Study of Bevacizumab in Her2- Inflammatory Breast Cancer Patients
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 26% for any early termination, 10% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 26% of the time (3,728 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2019-09-30, after 2009-01-31 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2019-09-30. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: tumorcancerradiationbreastuln
Phrases that lowered it: inflammatorymaleefficacy andpatients whodisorders -
Sponsor's past termination rate: 30% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Disease area, dermatology: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 19.6% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
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Sponsor's past trials: 20 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Allocation: not applicable (raises risk) · Design
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Drugs with FDA adverse-event history: 5 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Keywords listed: 6 (lowers risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months: 8706 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 6 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 20 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 30% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 12 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 5 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 30621 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 8706 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 91.6% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 19.6% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, dermatology
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- bevacizumab, cyclophosphamide, docetaxel, epirubicin, fluorouracil
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Chemotherapy & Bevacizumab for Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor 2 (HER2)/Neu-Negative Stage II/III Breast Cancer NCT00679029 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 57% of active trials terminated
- Bevacizumab in Combination With Chemotherapy in the Neo-adjuvant Setting for HER2 (-) Breast Cancer NCT01985841 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 80% of active trials terminated
- Bevacizumab, Docetaxel, and Carboplatin in Treating Women With Stage II or Stage III Breast Cancer NCT01208480 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 65% of active trials completed
- Trastuzumab and Pertuzumab or Bevacizumab With Combination Chemotherapy in Treating Patients With Stage II-III Breast Cancer NCT01959490 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 68% of active trials completed
- Paclitaxel With or Without Carboplatin and/or Bevacizumab Followed by Doxorubicin and Cyclophosphamide in Treating Patients With Breast Cancer That Can Be Removed by Surgery NCT00861705 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 52% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.