Panobinostat in Combination With Idarubicin and Cytarabine in Patients Aged 65 Years or Older With Newly Diagnosed Acute Myeloblastic Leukaemia (AML)

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 31% for any early termination, 9% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 26% of the time (851 trials).

Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2018-12-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: amlthe patientmdscytarabinetherapy
  Phrases that lowered it: openlabelagedand safetyclinical trial
• Phase: 1/2 (raises risk) · Design
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Responsible party: not given (raises risk) · Design
• Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
• Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 8 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
• Minimum age: 65 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Phase I Dose Finding and Proof-of-concept Study of Panobinostat With Standard Dose Cytarabine and Daunorubicin for Untreated Acute Myeloid Leukemia or Advanced Myelodysplastic Syndrome NCT01463046 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 82% of active trials completed
• A Phase Ib/IIb, Open-label, Multi-center, Study of Oral Panobinostat Administered With 5-Azacitidine (in Adult Patients With Myelodysplastic Syndromes (MDS), Chronic Myelomonocytic Leukemia (CMML), or Acute Myeloid Leukemia (AML). NCT00946647 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 79% of active trials completed
• Panobinostat With Fludarabine and Cytarabine for Treatment of Children With Acute Myeloid Leukemia or Myelodysplastic Syndrome NCT02676323 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 79% of active trials terminated
• Study of the Combination of Panobinostat & Carfilzomib in Patients With Relapsed &/or Refractory Multiple Myeloma NCT01549431 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 84% of active trials completed
• Panobinostat/Velcade in Multiple Myeloma NCT00891033 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 63% of active trials terminated

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.