Lurasidone - A 6-week Study of Patients With Bipolar I Depression (Add-on)
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 12% for any early termination, 5% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 12% of the time (422 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2012-01-31, after 2009-04-30 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2012-01-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: randomizationsubject hasdepressionsubject mustsubject is
Phrases that lowered it: trial28clinical studythis clinicalparallel -
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 20 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 11.2% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Maximum age: 75 (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Number of arms: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past trials: 50 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- double (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 3 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 75 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 50 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 0% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 20 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 4 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 12054 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 3542 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 71.3% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 11.2% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- psychiatry
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- divalproex, lithium, lurasidone, valproic acid
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Lurasidone HCI - A 6-week Phase 3 Study of Patients With Bipolar I Depression NCT01284517 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 12% of active trials completed
- Lurasidone - A 6-week Study of Patients With Bipolar I Depression (Monotherapy) NCT00868699 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 28% of active trials completed
- A Study of Lurasidone Compared With Placebo for the Treatment of Bipolar I Depression NCT04383691 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 9% of active trials terminated
- Bipolar Maintenance Study of Lurasidone Adjunctive to Lithium or Divalproex NCT01358357 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 12% of active trials completed
- This is an Open-label, Multi-center, Extension Study Designed to Evaluate the Longer Term Safety, Tolerability and Effectiveness of Lurasidone, Flexibly Dosed, Adjunctive to Lithium or Divalproex for the Treatment of Subjects With Bipolar I Disorder Who Have Participated in Study D1050296 NCT01575561 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 19% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.