Safety and Efficacy Study of FOLFOX4+Panitumumab vs.FOLFIRI+Panitumumab in Subjects WT KRAS Colorectal Cancer and Liver-only Metastases
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 27% for any early termination, 18% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 26% of the time (3,728 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2015-03-31, after 2009-05-31 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2015-03-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: chemotherapybowelpriorcancersubject
Phrases that lowered it: typeevaluate theallergicto evaluateefficacy -
Sponsor's past termination rate: 33.3% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Maximum age: 75 (lowers risk) · Who can join
-
Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
-
Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 11.8% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 4 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Number of arms: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 77.8% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Collaborators: 1 (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 1 (typical: 0)
- Keywords listed
- 4 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 75 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 3 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 33.3% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 4 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 789 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 335 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 77.8% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 11.8% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, digestive
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- panitumumab
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- FOLFOXIRI Plus Panitumumab Patients With Metastatic KRAS Wild-Type Colorectal Cancer With Liver Metastases Only NCT01226719 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 78% of active trials completed
- Safety and Efficacy Study of Panitumumab+Irinotecan in Patients Wild-Type (WT) KRAS Metastatic Colorectal Cancer Refractory to Irinotecan Based Chemotherapy (SPECTRA) NCT00958386 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 96% of active trials completed
- FOLFOXIRI With or Without Panitumumab in Metastatic Colorectal Cancer (VOLFI) NCT01328171 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 78% of active trials completed
- FOLFOXIRI With or Without Cetuximab as First-line Treatment of Patients With Non-resectable Liver - Only Metastatic Colorectal Cancer NCT02063529 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 60% of active trials completed
- A Study of Perioperative Chemotherapy Plus Panitumumab in Patients With Colorectal Cancer Liver Metastases NCT01260415 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 79% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.