The Synergistic Metastases Annihilation With Radiotherapy and Docetaxel (Taxotere) [SMART] Trial for Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC)
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 45% for any early termination, 36% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 26% of the time (3,728 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Terminated on 2011-06-30, after 2009-04-30 start.
Reason given by the sponsor: “enrollment”
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2011-06-30. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
-
Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: cisplatinpatients mustnsclcradiotherapycell lung
Phrases that lowered it: womenpulmonaryvolumebreastiv -
Sponsor's past termination rate: 19.4% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
-
Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
-
Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
-
Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
-
Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 47 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
-
Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Number of arms: 2 (raises risk) · Design
-
Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 93.4% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Sponsor's past trials: 103 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design
-
Disease area, respiratory: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
-
Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 20.8% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 3 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 103 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 19.4% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 47 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 2 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 10740 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 2534 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 93.4% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 20.8% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, respiratory
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- cisplatin, docetaxel
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Cisplatin/Irinotecan With Concurrent Radiation for Inoperable NSCLC NCT02275806 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 99% of active trials terminated
- Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy Using Intensity Modulated Radiotherapy (IMRT) & Docetaxel-cisplatin (or Carboplatin) Followed by Adjuvant Chemotherapy for Inoperable Stage III Non-small-cell Lung Cancer NCT01266512 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 57% of active trials completed
- Combined CFRT and SABR in Stage II and III NSCLC With Peripheral Tumors Smaller Than 5 cm. NCT01933568 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 98% of active trials completed
- Hypofractionated Boost Before Chemoradiation for Patients With Stage II-III Non-small Cell Lung Cancer Unsuitable for Surgery NCT02262325 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 95% of active trials completed
- Carboplatin and Paclitaxel Albumin-Stabilized Nanoparticle Formulation Followed by Radiation Therapy and Erlotinib in Treating Patients With Stage III Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer That Cannot Be Removed By Surgery NCT00553462 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 86% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.