Open-label Study to Evaluate the Safety, PK, and PD of MEK Inhibitor GSK1120212 in Subjects With Relapsed or Refractory Leukemias

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 22% for any early termination, 5% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 22% of the time (1,598 trials).

Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2013-04-30. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: leukemialymphocyticamlcancerii
  Phrases that lowered it: subjectsdiseasesopen labelstudy topharmacokinetics
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 4.7% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
• Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 467 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Sponsor's past trials: 1396 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Number of arms: 2 (raises risk) · Design
• Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• A Phase I Dose Escalation Study of GSK2879552 in Subjects With Acute Myeloid Leukemia (AML) NCT02177812 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 25% of active trials terminated
• A Phase 1, Open Label Study of Intravenous GSK3745417 to Evaluate Safety, Tolerability, Pharmacokinetics, Pharmacodynamics and Determine RP2D & Schedule in Participants With Relapsed or Refractory Myeloid Malignancies Including AML and HR MDS NCT05424380 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 49% of active trials terminated
• A Study of PLX2853 in Relapsed or Refractory Acute Myeloid Leukemia or High Risk Myelodysplastic Syndrome NCT03787498 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 66% of active trials completed
• Study to Assess OPB-31121 in Advanced Leukemias or Myelodysplastic Syndromes NCT01029509 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 82% of active trials terminated
• Safety, Clinical Activity, Pharmacokinetics (PK) and Pharmacodynamics Study of GSK2879552, Alone or With Azacitidine, in Subjects With High Risk Myelodysplastic Syndromes (MDS) NCT02929498 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 92% of active trials terminated

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.