Immune Response to an HIV DNA Plasmid Vaccine Prime Followed by Adenovirus Boost in HIV-uninfected Individuals
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 4% for any early termination, 1% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 4% of the time (217 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2017-11-22, after 2011-05-31 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2017-11-22. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: typecellsdeterminenegativeprotocol
Phrases that lowered it: participantsparticipantvaccinevaccinationinfluenza -
Sponsor's past termination rate: 4.1% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
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Primary purpose: prevention (lowers risk) · Design
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Has a data monitoring committee: not given (lowers risk) · Design
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 98 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Maximum age: 50 (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Sponsor's past trials: 852 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Sponsor type: government (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- non randomized (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- prevention (typical: treatment)
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- not given (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 2 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 50 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- Yes (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- government (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 852 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 4.1% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 98 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 0 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- No (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 0 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 0 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- no FAERS history (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- no FAERS history (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- infectious disease, immunology, urogenital
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- none matched
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Evaluating the Safety and Immune Response of an Adenovirus-Based HIV Vaccine in HIV-Uninfected Adults NCT01103687 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 3% of active trials completed
- Evaluating the Immune Response to a rAd5 HIV Vaccine Administered in Three Different Ways in Healthy, HIV-Uninfected Adults NCT01479296 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 3% of active trials completed
- Antigenic Competition in HIV Preventive Vaccines NCT01159990 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 3% of active trials completed
- Evaluating the Safety and Immune Response to an HIV Vaccine in Healthy, HIV-Uninfected Adults Who Have Participated in Previous HIV Vaccine Clinical Trials and in Adults Who Have Not Participated in Previous HIV Vaccine Clinical Trials NCT01376726 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 3% of active trials completed
- Study to Evaluate the Safety and Immunogenicity of an Oral HIV Vaccine in Healthy, HIV-uninfected Adults NCT02771730 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 5% of active trials terminated
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.