A Study In Healthy Volunteers To Estimate The Pharmacokinetics Of Four Modified-Release Formulations Of Dimebon (Latrepirdine)

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 3% for any early termination, 0% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 8% of the time (544 trials).

Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2009-12-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: releasebioavailabilitygreater thansubjectssingle dose
  Phrases that lowered it: allergiespharmacokineticsbodyexcluding untreatedasymptomatic seasonal
• Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
• Design: crossover (lowers risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 15.9% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Primary purpose: not given (lowers risk) · Design
• Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
• Disease area, neurology: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 377 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Responsible party: not given (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Blinding: none (lowers risk) · Design
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
• Disease area, psychiatry: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Maximum age: 55 (lowers risk) · Who can join
• Number of arms: 5 (lowers risk) · Design
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• A Study Evaluating The Absorption Of Dimebon Into The Body From A Dimebon Solution Applied To The Skin NCT00990613 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 6% of active trials completed
• A Phase 1 Trial To Assess The Safety And Pharmacokinetics Of Single, Ascending, Oral Doses Of Dimebon In Healthy Adults NCT00907322 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 15% of active trials completed
• A Phase 1 Study To Evaluate The Pharmacokinetics, Safety, And Tolerability Of Dimebon [PF-01913539] In Japanese And Western Healthy Subjects NCT00825084 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 8% of active trials completed
• A Phase I Study To Estimate The Effect Of Ketoconazole And Omeprazole On The Pharmacokinetics Of Dimebon In Healthy Subjects Who Are Normal Or Poor CYP2D6 Metabolizers NCT00931073 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 2% of active trials completed
• A Study to Evaluate the Bioequivalence Between Immediate Release Tablets and Minitablets of Deucravacitinib (BMS-986165), and the Effect of Food and pH on the Drug Levels of the Minitablets in Healthy Adults NCT06851871 · started 2025 · scored riskier than 1% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.