Efficacy Study for AC220 to Treat Acute Myeloid Leukemia (AML)

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 19% for any early termination, 5% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 22% of the time (1,598 trials).

Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2014-12-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: leukemiaamlchemotherapycancerrefractory
  Phrases that lowered it: patients who20openhematologicalefficacy
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
• Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
• Maximum age: 85 (lowers risk) · Who can join
• Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 7.1% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 25 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Responsible party: sponsor (lowers risk) · Design
• Keywords listed: 11 (raises risk) · Design
• Number of arms: 2 (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• A Study to Assess AC220 Given in Combination With Induction and Consolidation Therapy in Newly Diagnosed Acute Myeloid Leukemia (AML) NCT01390337 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 67% of active trials completed
• First-in-Human Study of FLX925 in Subjects With Relapsed or Refractory Acute Myeloid Leukemia NCT02335814 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 49% of active trials terminated
• AC220 for Children With Relapsed/Refractory ALL or AML NCT01411267 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 99% of active trials completed
• Filgrastim, Cladribine, Cytarabine, and Mitoxantrone With Sorafenib in Treating Patients With Newly-Diagnosed, Acute Myeloid Leukemia or High-Risk Myelodysplastic Syndrome NCT02728050 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 70% of active trials completed
• Open Label Study to Evaluate Safety and Efficacy of 2 Doses of Quizartinib in Patients With Relapsed or Refractory Acute Myeloid Leukemia NCT01565668 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 80% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.