Safety Study of CAT-8015 to Treat Advanced B-cell Non-Hodgkin Lymphoma and Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia (NHL or CLL)

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 11% for any early termination, 2% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 29% of the time (655 trials).

Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2013-03-04. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: or equalleukemiaequal tochemotherapycancer
  Phrases that lowered it: participantslymphomaand safetydlbclrituximab
• Phase: 1/2 (raises risk) · Design
• Maximum age: 99 (lowers risk) · Who can join
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 9.6% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
• Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Number of arms: 5 (lowers risk) · Design
• Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 22 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Study to Assess Safety, Tolerability and Efficacy of MB-106 in Patients With Relapsed or Refractory B-Cell NHL or CLL NCT05360238 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 62% of active trials terminated
• CAT-8015 in Children, Adolescents and Young Adults With Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia or Non-Hodgkin's Lymphoma NCT00659425 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 26% of active trials completed
• A Phase 1 Study Evaluating the Safety and Pharmacokinetics of ABT-199 in Subjects With Relapsed or Refractory Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia and Non-Hodgkin Lymphoma NCT01328626 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 19% of active trials completed
• Safety and Efficacy of Axicabtagene Ciloleucel in Combination With Utomilumab in Adults With Refractory Large B-cell Lymphoma NCT03704298 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 46% of active trials terminated
• Study of ACTR087 in Subjects With Relapsed or Refractory B-cell Lymphoma NCT02776813 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 64% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.