HAI Abraxane With Gemcitabine and Bevacizumab
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 20% for any early termination, 10% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 23% of the time (1,629 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2014-05-31, after 2010-01-31 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2014-05-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 25.3% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: patientsmg dlgemcitabineinfusionfailure
Phrases that lowered it: liverhepaticvegfpughulcer -
Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 161 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Sponsor's past trials: 221 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 18.8% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Drugs with FDA adverse-event history: 4 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
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Keywords listed: 18 (raises risk) · Design
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Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months: 6125 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 18 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 221 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 25.3% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 161 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 4 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 24763 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 6125 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 92.4% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 18.8% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- bevacizumab, filgrastim, gemcitabine, paclitaxel
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Hepatic Arterial Infusion (HAI) of Abraxane NCT00732836 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 88% of active trials completed
- Hepatic Arterial Infusion Oxaliplatin, Capecitabine With or Without Bevacizumab NCT01213238 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 68% of active trials completed
- HAI Irinotecan + IV Bevacizumab, Bevacizumab & Oxaliplatin or Bevacizumab & Cetuximab in Advanced Cancers Metastatic to Liver NCT00980239 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 70% of active trials completed
- Hepatic Arterial Infusion Oxaliplatin + 5FU, Leucovorin, and Bevacizumab +/- Cetuximab NCT00941499 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 61% of active trials completed
- Hepatic Artery Infusion With FOLFOX in Liver Metastasis From Breast Cancer NCT01937507 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 97% of active trials terminated
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.