Safety, Tolerability, Pharmacodynamic and Pharmacokinetics of a Single Rectal Application of 10 mg NRL001 in Elderly Subjects

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 3% for any early termination, 0% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 5% of the time (176 trials).

Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2010-07-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: placebodouble blindacutehourscontrolled
  Phrases that lowered it: healthyvolunteersscreeningpharmacokineticsmale
• Design: crossover (lowers risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
• Responsible party: not given (raises risk) · Design
• Minimum age: 65 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Blinding: double (raises risk) · Design
• Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 8 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Sponsor's past trials: 21 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Study of Escalating Doses of NRL001 Given in Slow-release Rectal Suppositories of Different Weights NCT00850590 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 5% of active trials completed
• Safety, Tolerability, Pharmacodynamic and Pharmacokinetics of 7.5, 10, 12.5 or 15 mg NRL001 in a 2 g Suppository for 14 Days NCT01099670 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 4% of active trials completed
• Study of the Relative Oral Bioavailability of AL-3778 Tablets and Drug Interaction With Entecavir or Tenofovir Disoproxil Fumarate in Healthy Volunteers NCT03032536 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 5% of active trials terminated
• A Comparison of the Pharmacokinetic Properties of ARN-75039 Tablets With Excipients to Neat ARN-75039 in Hydroxypropyl Methylcellulose (HPMC) Capsules in Healthy Adult Participants Under Fed Conditions NCT06911242 · started 2025 · scored riskier than 1% of active trials completed
• A Phase 1 Bioequivalence Study of a Test Tablet Formulation of Ravidasvir With the Reference Tablet Formulation of Ravidasvir Study NCT03602300 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 1% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.