A Study of Trastuzumab Emtansine (T-DM1) Plus Pertuzumab/Pertuzumab Placebo Versus Trastuzumab [Herceptin] Plus a Taxane in Participants With Metastatic Breast Cancer (MARIANNE)
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 11% for any early termination, 2% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 16% of the time (927 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2016-09-16, after 2010-07-31 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2016-09-16. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: breast cancermetastaticrecurrenther2trastuzumab
Phrases that lowered it: participantsefficacy andevaluate thesafety ofopen label -
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Blinding: triple (raises risk) · Design
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Has a data monitoring committee: not given (lowers risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 16.5% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 179 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Sponsor's past trials: 322 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 12.1% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, dermatology: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
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Drugs with FDA adverse-event history: 4 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- triple (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- not given (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 1 (typical: 0)
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 322 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 12.1% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 179 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 4 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 13175 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 3129 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 94.4% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 16.5% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, dermatology
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- ado trastuzumab emtansine, docetaxel, paclitaxel, pertuzumab, trastuzumab, trastuzumab emtansine
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- A Study of Trastuzumab Emtansine (Trastuzumab-MCC-DM1, T-DM1) in Combination With Pertuzumab Administered to Patients With Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor-2 (HER2)-Positive Locally Advanced or Metastatic Breast Cancer Who Have Previously Received Trastuzumab NCT00875979 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 83% of active trials completed
- A Study Evaluating Trastuzumab Emtansine Plus Pertuzumab Compared With Chemotherapy Plus Trastuzumab and Pertuzumab for Participants With Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor 2 (HER2)-Positive Breast Cancer NCT02131064 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 23% of active trials completed
- A Study of Trastuzumab Emtansine in Combination With Atezolizumab or Placebo as a Treatment for Participants With Human Epidermal Growth Factor 2 (HER2)-Positive and Programmed Death-ligand 1 (PD-L1)-Positive Locally Advanced (LABC) or Metastatic Breast Cancer (MBC) NCT04740918 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 53% of active trials terminated
- A Study of Trastuzumab Emtansine in Comparison With Treatment of Physician's Choice in Participants With HER2-positive Breast Cancer Who Have Received at Least Two Prior Regimens of HER2-directed Therapy NCT01419197 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 28% of active trials completed
- Study in Participants With Early-Stage or Locally Advanced Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor (HER) 2-Positive Breast Cancer to Evaluate Treatment With Trastuzumab Plus (+) Pertuzumab + Docetaxel Compared With Trastuzumab + Placebo + Docetaxel NCT02586025 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 22% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.