Concomitant Chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) With Weekly Docetaxel and Cisplatin for Locally Advanced Head and Neck Cancer

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 18% for any early termination, 6% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 26% of the time (3,728 trials).

Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2016-04-15. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: cancerconcurrentdocetaxelheadcell
  Phrases that lowered it: nasaladvancedthe efficacyphysicalpatients
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
• Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 62 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
• Has a data monitoring committee: not given (lowers risk) · Design
• Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
• Responsible party: principal investigator (lowers risk) · Design
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 20.9% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 93.9% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Disease area, dermatology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Docetaxel, Cisplatin, and S-1 (TPS) Induction Chemotherapy in Locally Advanced Head and Neck Cancer NCT01645748 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 81% of active trials completed
• Study to Evaluate the Response Rate to Therapy With Docetaxel and Cisplatin in Unresectable Locally Advanced Squamous Cell Carcinoma of Head and Neck NCT02061631 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 67% of active trials completed
• Cetuximab as Induction Treatment in Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma (HNSCC) NCT00623558 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 72% of active trials completed
• Postoperative Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy With Docetaxel for High-Risk Squamous Cell Carcinoma of Head and Neck NCT02776137 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 90% of active trials completed
• Induction Chemotherapy Followed by Chemoradiation With Cetuximab in Head and Neck Cancer NCT00868491 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 79% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.