Plerixafor and Clofarabine in Frontline Treatment of Elderly Patients With Acute Myelogenous Leukemia (AML)

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 23% for any early termination, 12% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 26% of the time (851 trials).

Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2016-03-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: leukemiacancerprostatecontrolaml
  Phrases that lowered it: patientssafety ofdrugreceivedaminotransferase
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 27.8% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Phase: 1/2 (raises risk) · Design
• Minimum age: 60 (lowers risk) · Who can join
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 41.9% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 148 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Sponsor's past trials: 248 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
• Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
• Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
• Responsible party: sponsor (lowers risk) · Design
• Collaborators: 1 (raises risk) · Design

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Clofarabine and Low-dose Cytarabine Followed by Consolidation Therapy in AML Patients Age Greater Than or Equal to 60 Years NCT01193400 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 82% of active trials terminated
• Study of Plerixafor Combined With Cytarabine and Daunorubicin in Patients With Newly Diagnosed Acute Myeloid Leukemia NCT00990054 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 89% of active trials completed
• Fludarabine in Combination With Daunorubicin and Cytarabine Liposome in Newly-diagnosed Acute Myeloid Leukemia. NCT04425655 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 98% of active trials terminated
• Clinical Trial to Assess the Efficacy and Toxicity of Induction and Consolidation With CPX-351 for Patients Aged 60 to 75 Years With Secondary or High-risk Acute Myeloid Leukemia NCT04230239 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 63% of active trials completed
• Trial of DFP-10917 vs Non-Intensive or Intensive Reinduction for AML Patients in 2nd/3rd/4th Salvage NCT03926624 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 60% of active trials terminated

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.