Cixutumumab, Everolimus, and Octreotide Acetate in Treating Patients With Advanced Low to Intermediate Grade Neuroendocrine Carcinoma

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 13% for any early termination, 4% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 24% of the time (231 trials).

Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: lungpatients mustradiationcancerinsulin
  Phrases that lowered it: bleedingmultiplepatients whoeverolimusinr
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
• Has a data monitoring committee: not given (lowers risk) · Design
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 242 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Sponsor's past trials: 436 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
• Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 25.3% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 95.6% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 8.5% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
• Drug's FAERS reports before start: 2030 (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Responsible party: sponsor (lowers risk) · Design

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Everolimus and Combination Chemotherapy in Treating Patients With Metastatic Stomach or Esophageal Cancer NCT01231399 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 94% of active trials completed
• A Phase II, Single-Arm Study of RAD001 (Everolimus), Letrozole, and Metformin in Patients With Advanced or Recurrent Endometrial Carcinoma NCT01797523 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 83% of active trials completed
• Everolimus and Octreotide Acetate With or Without Bevacizumab in Treating Patients With Locally Advanced or Metastatic Pancreatic Neuroendocrine Tumors That Cannot Be Removed by Surgery NCT01229943 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 36% of active trials completed
• Study of Mutation-Targeted Therapy With Sunitinib or Everolimus in People With Advanced Low- or Intermediate-Grade Neuroendocrine Tumors of the Gastrointestinal Tract and Pancreas With or Without Cytoreductive Surgery NCT02315625 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 50% of active trials terminated
• Everolimus for Cancer With TSC1 or TSC2 Mutation NCT02201212 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 84% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.