PET/CT Imaging for Radiation Dosimetry, Plasma Pharmacokinetics, Biodistribution, Safety and Tolerability and Diagnostic Performance of BAY86-7548 in Patients With Prostate Cancer and Healthy Volunteers

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 20% for any early termination, 4% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 16% of the time (1,938 trials).

Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2011-12-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: cancerctpetmriuncontrolled
  Phrases that lowered it: healthyvolunteerspharmacokineticssinglemass
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past termination rate: no earlier finished trials (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Minimum age: 45 (lowers risk) · Who can join
• Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 5 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
• Primary purpose: diagnostic (raises risk) · Design

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Positron Emission Tomography/Computed Tomography (PET/CT) Imaging for Radiation Dosimetry, Plasma Pharmacokinetics, Biodistribution, Safety and Tolerability and Diagnostic Performance of BAY86-4367 in Patients With Prostate Cancer and Healthy Volunteers NCT00975299 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 16% of active trials terminated
• PET/CT (Positron Emission Tomography/Computed Tomography) Imaging for Safety and Tolerability and Diagnostic Performance of BAY1075553 in Patients With Prostate Cancer and Healthy Volunteers NCT01287845 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 11% of active trials completed
• Exploration of Tumor Accumulation of BAY94-9392 in Patients With Cancer NCT01186601 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 52% of active trials completed
• Radiation Dosimetry, Metabolism, Pharmacokinetics, Safety and Tolerability and PET Imaging With BAY94-9392 in Healthy Volunteers and Patients With Cancer or Inflammation NCT01103310 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 15% of active trials completed
• Radiation Dosimetry, Metabolism, Safety, Tolerability and Positron Emission Tomography/Computed Tomography (PET/CT) Imaging With BAY 85-8050 in Healthy Volunteers and Patients NCT00961831 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 10% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.