A Phase I Study of AZD1480 in Patients With Advanced Solid Malignancies and Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma in the Escalation Phase,Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer(NSCLC) and Non-smokers With Lung Metastasis and Gastric Cancer and Solid Tumour in the Expansion Phase.
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 12% for any early termination, 1% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 16% of the time (1,938 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Terminated on 2012-12-31, after 2010-11-30 start.
Reason given by the sponsor: “other”
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2012-12-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: cancerbiopsysolidstandardtherapy
Phrases that lowered it: evaluateopen labelnsclcgastricsmokers -
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Has a data monitoring committee: not given (lowers risk) · Design
-
Sponsor's past termination rate: 7.5% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 342 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Sponsor's past trials: 892 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Number of arms: 4 (lowers risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 4 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- non randomized (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- not given (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 8 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 892 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 7.5% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 342 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 0 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- No (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 0 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 0 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- no FAERS history (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- no FAERS history (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, digestive
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- none matched
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Study to Assess Safety, Tolerability and PK of AZD1480 in Patients With Solid Tumours NCT01112397 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 36% of active trials terminated
- A Phase I/Ib Study of AZD9150 (ISIS-STAT3Rx) in Patients With Advanced/Metastatic Hepatocellular Carcinoma NCT01839604 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 34% of active trials completed
- Phase Ib Study AZD1775 in Combination With Carboplatin and Paclitaxel in Adult Asian Patients With Solid Tumours NCT02341456 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 32% of active trials completed
- Phase II Single Arm Study of AZD9291 to Treat NSCLC Patients in Asia Pacific NCT02442349 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 23% of active trials completed
- Investigate the Safety and Tolerability of AZD6244 Monotherapy or + Docetaxel in Japanese Patients With Advanced Solid Malignancies or Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer NCT01605916 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 13% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.