Study of Intraperitoneal Carboplatin With IV Paclitaxel and Bevacizumab in Untreated Ovarian Cancer
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 8% for any early termination, 4% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 23% of the time (1,629 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2023-07-17, after 2011-04-28 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2023-07-17. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: cancercellpaclitaxelcarcinomacarboplatin
Phrases that lowered it: patients whopatients withwith historycriteria patientsreceived -
Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past termination rate: no earlier finished trials (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Responsible party: sponsor investigator (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 18.9% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Maximum age: 90 (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months: 6764 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Sponsor's past trials: 0 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 0 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Keywords listed: 9 (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor investigator (typical: sponsor)
- Collaborators
- 1 (typical: 0)
- Keywords listed
- 9 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 90 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- female (typical: all)
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- Yes (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 0 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- no earlier finished trials (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 0 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 3 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 33965 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 6764 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 93.2% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 18.9% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, urogenital, endocrine
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- bevacizumab, carboplatin, paclitaxel
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy IV Carboplatin With Weekly Paclitaxel \Bevacizumab for Primary Ovarian NCT01219777 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 32% of active trials completed
- Intraperitoneal Therapy For Ovarian Cancer With Carboplatin Trial NCT01506856 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 44% of active trials completed
- A Study of First Line Treatment With Avastin (Bevacizumab) in Combination With Carboplatin and Weekly Paclitaxel in Patients With Ovarian Cancer NCT00937560 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 61% of active trials completed
- First-line Intraperitoneal Cisplatin and Etoposide Chemotherapy for Ovarian Cancer NCT01669226 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 77% of active trials completed
- A Study of the Efficacy and Safety of Bevacizumab in Chinese Women With Newly Diagnosed, Previously Untreated Stage III or Stage IV Epithelial Ovarian, Fallopian Tube, or Primary Peritoneal Cancer NCT03635489 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 22% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.