A Study Evaluating the Safety and Tolerability of a Seasonal Influenza Vaccine Containing LIQ001

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 3% for any early termination, 1% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 12% of the time (118 trials).

Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2011-12-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: heartcancerunstablediseasebreast
  Phrases that lowered it: vaccineinfluenzahealthyvaccinationsubjects
• Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
• Phase: 1/2 (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past termination rate: no earlier finished trials (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Primary purpose: prevention (lowers risk) · Design
• Has a data monitoring committee: not given (lowers risk) · Design
• Blinding: triple (raises risk) · Design
• Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Collaborators: 2 (lowers risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Sponsor's past trials: 0 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Disease area, infectious disease: Yes (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Number of arms: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
• Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Safety and Immunogenicity of One Dose of Seasonal Trivalent Influenza Virus Vaccine (TIVf, Purified Surface Antigen, Inactivated, Egg Derived) in Adults Aged 18 Years and Above NCT01640327 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 0% of active trials completed
• Safety and Immunogenicity of One Dose of Seasonal Trivalent Influenza Virus Vaccine (TIVf, Purified Surface Antigen, Inactivated, Egg Derived) in Adults, Aged 18 Years and Above NCT01885117 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 0% of active trials completed
• Safety and Immunogenicity of a Subunit Trivalent Influenza Vaccine, Northern Hemisphere Formulation 2013/2014, Including MF59C.1 Adjuvant, in Healthy Adults ≥65 Years of Age NCT01879540 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 1% of active trials completed
• Safety, Reactogenicity, and Immunogenicity of Inactivated Influenza A/H7/N7 Vaccine in Healthy Adults NCT00546585 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 1% of active trials completed
• Immunogenicity and Safety Study of GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) Biologicals' Trivalent Split Virion Influenza Vaccine Fluviral™ (2013-2014 Season) in Adults Aged 18 Years and Older NCT01878825 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 2% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.