Mycophenolate Mofetil in Patients With Progressive Idiopathic Membranous Nephropathy
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 16% for any early termination, 12% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 19% of the time (67 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2016-05-31, after 2011-03-31 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2016-05-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: functionuncontrolleddlmm3disease
Phrases that lowered it: to evaluateper dayallergyclinicaleffect -
Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 5 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Responsible party: principal investigator (lowers risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 23.4% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Sponsor's past trials: 2 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Number of arms: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
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Collaborators: 1 (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 90.2% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- principal investigator (typical: sponsor)
- Collaborators
- 1 (typical: 0)
- Keywords listed
- 4 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 2 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 0% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 5 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 3 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 28193 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 6242 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 90.2% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 23.4% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- immunology, urogenital
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- cyclosporine, mycophenolate mofetil, mycophenolic acid
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- MEmbranous Nephropathy Trial Of Rituximab NCT01180036 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 63% of active trials completed
- Sequential Therapy With Tacrolimus and Rituximab in Primary Membranous Nephropathy NCT01955187 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 28% of active trials completed
- A Dose Escalation Study of Long-acting ACTH Gel in Membranous Nephropathy NCT01093157 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 81% of active trials completed
- Rituximab Combined With Cyclosporine Versus Rituximab Alone in the Treatment of iMN NCT04743739 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 39% of active trials terminated
- Evaluate Rituximab Treatment for Idiopathic Membranous Nephropathy NCT01508468 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 66% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.