A Trial of Oral BEZ235 and BKM120 in Combination With Paclitaxel With or Without Trastuzumab
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 13% for any early termination, 1% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 16% of the time (1,938 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2014-10-31, after 2011-01-31 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2014-10-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: metastaticadvancedcancerpaclitaxeltumor
Phrases that lowered it: weeks beforeopen labeltrialjudgedpatients who -
Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Has a data monitoring committee: not given (lowers risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 15.4% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 12.1% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 269 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Sponsor's past trials: 264 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 94.0% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Number of arms: 4 (lowers risk) · Design
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Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 4 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- non randomized (typical: randomized)
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- not given (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 5 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 264 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 12.1% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 269 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 2 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 10832 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 2388 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 94.0% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 15.4% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- dactolisib, paclitaxel, trastuzumab
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Phase Ib/II Trial of BEZ235 With Paclitaxel in Patients With HER2 Negative, Locally Advanced or Metastatic Breast Cancer NCT01495247 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 82% of active trials terminated
- A Phase Ib/II Study of BEZ235 and Trastuzumab in Patients With HER2-positive Breast Cancer Who Failed Prior to Trastuzumab NCT01471847 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 69% of active trials completed
- Phase 1b/2 Study of BKM120 Plus Trastuzumab in Patients With HER2-positive Breast Cancer NCT01132664 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 71% of active trials terminated
- Safety, Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics of BEZ235 Plus MEK162 in Selected Advanced Solid Tumor Patients NCT01337765 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 94% of active trials completed
- Phase I Study LJM716 Combined With Trastuzumab in Patients With HER2 Overexpressing Metastatic Breast or Gastric Cancer NCT01602406 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 25% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.