High Dose BAYA1040_Nifedipine: a Dose-comparative Study
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 5% for any early termination, 1% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 14% of the time (493 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2011-08-31, after 2011-01-31 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2011-08-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: treatment withiiiassesssecondaryweeks of
Phrases that lowered it: blood pressuremmhgessential hypertensionefficacy andonce daily -
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Sponsor's past termination rate: 5.9% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 20 (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 14.6% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 129 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Sponsor's past trials: 356 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Blinding: triple (raises risk) · Design
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- triple (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 6 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 20 (typical: 18)
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 356 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 5.9% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 129 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 5350 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 967 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 85.8% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 14.6% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cardiovascular
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- nifedipine
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- High Dose BAYA1040_Nifedipine: a Long Term Combination Study NCT01294215 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 6% of active trials completed
- Nifedipine (Adalat CR, BAY A1040) High Dose PK/PD Study NCT00768560 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 7% of active trials completed
- High Dose BAYA1040 CR: a Long Term Extension Study NCT01355367 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 9% of active trials completed
- Open-Label Long-Term Safety and Efficacy Study of Fixed Dose Combination of Nifedipine Gastrointestinal Therapeutic System and Candesartan Cilexetil in Subjects With Moderate to Severe Essential Hypertension NCT01788358 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 33% of active trials completed
- Efficacy and Safety of SPA100 (Fixed-dose Combination of Aliskiren/Amlodipine) in Patients With Essential Hypertension NCT01237223 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 2% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.