TMC649128HPC1001 - First In-human Trial to Examine Safety, Tolerability, and Pharmacokinetics (How the Drug is Absorbed Into the Bloodstream) of Increasing Single Oral Doses of TMC649128 in Healthy Volunteers
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 4% for any early termination, 0% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 6% of the time (776 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2011-06-30, after 2011-01-31 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2011-06-30. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: tolerabilitydosesthe safetyprior30
Phrases that lowered it: healthytrialvaccinedrugparticipant -
Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
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Has a data monitoring committee: not given (lowers risk) · Design
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 4.8% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 24 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Blinding: triple (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Maximum age: 55 (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Sponsor's past trials: 42 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- triple (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- not given (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 7 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 55 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- Yes (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 42 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 4.8% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 24 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 0 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- No (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 0 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 0 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- no FAERS history (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- no FAERS history (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- infectious disease, digestive
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- none matched
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- TMC647055HPC1001 - First-in-human Trial to Examine Safety, Tolerability and Pharmacokinetics (How the Drug is Absorbed Into the Bloodstream) of Increasing Single Oral Doses and of Increasing Repeated Oral Doses of TMC647055 in Healthy Volunteers and in Hepatitis C Virus Infected Patients NCT01202825 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 5% of active trials completed
- TMC435350-TiDP16-C109: A Safety Study for TMC435350 in an Oral Solution Containing Either 100, 200 or 400 mg Equivalent of TMC435350 or Placebo in Healthy Japanese Male Volunteers NCT00752544 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 4% of active trials completed
- PEPI-TiDP23-C103: First-in-Human Study to Examine the Safety, Tolerability, and Plasma Pharmacokinetics of Increasing Single and Repeated Oral Doses of TMC558445 and of a Combined Single Day Dosing of Oral TMC558445 and Oral TMC310911 and Also Oral Darunavir NCT00838760 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 8% of active trials completed
- A Study to Assess Bioavailability & Food Effect of Different Liquid and Capsule Formulations of TMC435. NCT01571570 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 0% of active trials completed
- TMC278-TiDP38-C145: A Bioavailability Study in Healthy Adult Volunteers to Evaluate 3 Pediatric Formulations of TMC278 (a Solution, a Suspension, and Granules) Compared to an Adult Tablet Formulation NCT00812292 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 0% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.