Effect of LY2189265 on Insulin Secretion in Response to Intravenous Glucose
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 3% for any early termination, 0% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 6% of the time (816 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2011-08-31, after 2011-02-28 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2011-08-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: evidence ofpriordiseasediabetict2dm
Phrases that lowered it: healthyparticipantskgscreeningbmi -
Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Design: crossover (lowers risk) · Design
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Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
-
Sponsor's past termination rate: 4.8% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 5.9% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Blinding: triple (raises risk) · Design
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 193 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 78.6% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Disease area, psychiatry: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- crossover (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- triple (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 65 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- Yes (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 526 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 4.8% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 193 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 2 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 11228 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 1926 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 78.6% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 5.9% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- metabolic, endocrine
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- dulaglutide, glucagon, insulin lispro
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- A Study of LY2189265 and Sitagliptin in Participants With Type 2 Diabetes NCT01408888 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 3% of active trials completed
- A Study of LY2409021 in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes NCT01241448 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 29% of active trials completed
- A Study to Evaluate the Effect of LY2189265 on the Speed at Which Food and Drink Leaves the Stomach in Patients With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus NCT01215968 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 8% of active trials completed
- A Study in Participants With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus (AWARD-3) NCT01126580 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 10% of active trials completed
- A Study of LY3537021 in Healthy Participants and Participants With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus NCT04586907 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 6% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.