A Trial of Tivozanib (AV-951) in Combination With Capecitabine (Xeloda®) in Subjects With Advanced Solid Tumors
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 23% for any early termination, 3% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 16% of the time (1,938 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2014-01-31, after 2010-11-30 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2014-01-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
-
Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: subjects withcancersubjectbrainleukemia
Phrases that lowered it: open labelmyelomadrugspulmonarydrug -
Sponsor's past termination rate: 33.3% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
-
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 29.0% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
-
Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
-
Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 8 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
-
Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 3 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 3 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 33.3% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 8 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 11649 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 2898 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 92.6% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 29.0% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, digestive
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- capecitabine, tivozanib
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Study of the Pharmacokinetics/Safety of Sorafenib + Capecitabine in Advanced Solid Tumors NCT00613145 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 23% of active trials completed
- Pazopanib in Combination With PCI-24781 in Patients With Metastatic Solid Tumors NCT01543763 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 17% of active trials completed
- A Phase 1b/2a, Open-Label, Multi-Center Study of Tivozanib (AV-951) in Combination With Paclitaxel in Subjects With Advanced or Metastatic Breast Cancer NCT00717340 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 42% of active trials completed
- XAD - Xelox (Capecitabine + Oxaliplatin) + Bevacizumab + Dasatinib NCT00920868 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 47% of active trials completed
- Phase I Evaluating the Combination of Ribociclib+Capecitabine in Locally Advanced/Metastatic Breast Cancer HER2 Negative NCT02754011 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 72% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.