MEDITOXIN® Versus BOTOX® in the Treatment of Post-stroke Spasticity of the Upper Limb Spasticity
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 7% for any early termination, 2% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 15% of the time (734 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2012-02-29, after 2011-03-31 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2012-02-29. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: concurrentstabledouble blindrandomized doubletreatment with
Phrases that lowered it: compareand safetyefficacy andsafety oftrial to -
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 24.6% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Disease area, neurology: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Minimum age: 20 (lowers risk) · Who can join
-
Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 1.6% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Blinding: quadruple (lowers risk) · Design
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Number of arms: 2 (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- quadruple (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 3 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 20 (typical: 18)
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 1 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 0% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 3 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 7765 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 2616 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 24.6% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 1.6% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- neurology, musculoskeletal
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- botulinum toxin type a
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Phase III Study of Botulax® to Treat Post Stroke Upper Limb Spasticity NCT01915459 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 5% of active trials completed
- CORETOX® in Treatment of Post Stroke Upper Limb Spasticity (Phase3) NCT03289702 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 10% of active trials completed
- Phase 1 Trial of JTM201 in Subjects With Post-stroke Upper Limb Spasticity NCT07292025 · started 2023 · scored riskier than 7% of active trials completed
- CORETOX® in Treatment of Post Stroke Upper Limb Spasticity (Phase1) NCT05164003 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 10% of active trials completed
- Study of Intramuscular Injections of ABBV-950 to Assess Adverse Events and Change in Disease Activity in Adult Participants With Upper Limb Spasticity NCT05956509 · started 2024 · scored riskier than 30% of active trials terminated
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.