Stage I/II Nasal NK Cell Lymphoma
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 29% for any early termination, 17% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 26% of the time (851 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Terminated on 2013-05-31, after 2011-05-31 start.
Reason given by the sponsor: “enrollment”
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2013-05-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
-
Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: patients mustradiationchemotherapystagetherapy
Phrases that lowered it: times theweeks beforemalehepatitissafety of -
Sponsor's past termination rate: 29.1% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Phase: 1/2 (raises risk) · Design
-
Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
-
Sponsor's past trials: 292 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
-
Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 158 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 19.3% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months: 18250 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Keywords listed: 15 (raises risk) · Design
-
Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
-
Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Drug's FAERS reports before start: 76520 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Drugs with FDA adverse-event history: 4 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 85.2% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design
-
Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
-
Blinding: none (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1/2 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 15 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 292 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 29.1% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 158 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 4 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 76520 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 18250 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 85.2% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 19.3% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, immunology, hematology
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, prednisone, vincristine
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- A Phase I/II Trial of VR-CHOP in Lymphoma Patients NCT00634179 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 96% of active trials completed
- Chemotherapy for Relapsed Epstein Barr Virus Associated Lymphoma NCT01964755 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 96% of active trials terminated
- Study of Bendamustine Hydrochloride and Rituximab (BR) Compared With R-CVP or R-CHOP in the First-Line Treatment of Patients With Advanced Indolent Non-Hodgkin's Lymphoma (NHL) or Mantle Cell Lymphoma (MCL) - Referred to as the BRIGHT Study NCT00877006 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 29% of active trials completed
- Phase III Study of RAD001 Adjuvant Therapy in Poor Risk Patients With Diffuse Large B-Cell Lymphoma (DLBCL) of RAD001 Versus Matching Placebo After Patients Have Achieved Complete Response With First-line Rituximab-chemotherapy NCT00790036 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 51% of active trials completed
- Safety and Efficacy of Axicabtagene Ciloleucel in Combination With Utomilumab in Adults With Refractory Large B-cell Lymphoma NCT03704298 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 46% of active trials terminated
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.