A Study to Examine the Pharmacodynamic Effects of GSK1034702 on Neurophysiological Biomarkers of Cognition in Nicotine Abstained Otherwise Healthy Smokers
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 4% for any early termination, 0% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 7% of the time (289 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2010-06-18, after 2009-12-17 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2010-06-18. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
-
Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
-
Design: crossover (lowers risk) · Design
-
Sponsor's past termination rate: 4.1% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: coronaryheartcardiacplaceboartery
Phrases that lowered it: healthy90periodrangeday -
Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
-
Disease area, psychiatry: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
-
Blinding: double (raises risk) · Design
-
Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 455 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Sponsor's past trials: 1093 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
-
Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
-
Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
-
Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Maximum age: 55 (lowers risk) · Who can join
-
Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
-
Number of arms: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- crossover (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- double (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 1
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 55 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- male (typical: all)
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- Yes (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 1093 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 4.1% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 455 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 0 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- No (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 0 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 0 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- no FAERS history (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- no FAERS history (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- psychiatry
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- none matched
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Effects of Triglycerides on Age-Related Cognitive Function Decline in Older Subjects NCT01702480 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 15% of active trials completed
- A First Time in Human Study of GSK586529 in Healthy Volunteers NCT00703547 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 2% of active trials completed
- A Safety and Pharmacokinetic (PK) Study of GSK2982772 in Healthy Subjects NCT03305419 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 8% of active trials completed
- A Safety and Tolerability Study of GSK2982772, in Single (in Both Fed and Fasted States) and Repeat Oral Doses in Healthy Male Subjects NCT02302404 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 11% of active trials completed
- A First-Time-In-Human Study in Healthy Subjects NCT00857883 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 5% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.