Study of an Investigational Drug, ASP3026, in Patients With Solid Tumors
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 10% for any early termination, 1% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 5% of the time (4,470 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2014-01-31, after 2011-05-31 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2014-01-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Minimum age: 20 (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 5.7% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: patientpriorstandardtumortumors
Phrases that lowered it: lymphomaopen labeldayevaluate theto evaluate -
Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 115 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past trials: 279 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
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Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 3 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 20 (typical: 18)
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 279 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 5.7% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 115 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 0 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- No (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 0 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 0 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- no FAERS history (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- no FAERS history (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- none of the 14 tracked areas
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- none matched
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Study of an Investigational Drug, ASP3026, in Patients With Advanced Malignancies (Solid Tumors and B-Cell Lymphoma) NCT01284192 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 28% of active trials completed
- An Open-label Phase I Study of Orally Available Novel Small-molecule Fibroblast Growth Factor Receptors (FGFR) 1,2,3 and 4 Inhibitor, ASP5878 at Single and Multiple Doses in Patients With Solid Tumors NCT02038673 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 14% of active trials completed
- A Dose Escalation and Expansion Study of ASP4132 to Subjects With Advanced Refractory Tumors and Lymphoma NCT02383368 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 48% of active trials completed
- Safety, Tolerability, Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics of ASC61in Subjects With Advanced Solid Tumors NCT05287399 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 12% of active trials completed
- Study of ASP8374, an Immune Checkpoint Inhibitor, in Japanese Patients With Advanced Solid Tumors NCT03945253 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 28% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.