To Determine Blood Pressure Interaction Between TC-5214 and Anti-Hypertensive Medications (Calcium Channel Blockers, Beta Blockers, and ACE Inhibitors) in Patients With Chronic Hypertension

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 8% for any early termination, 2% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 5% of the time (4,470 trials).

Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2012-08-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Design: crossover (lowers risk) · Design
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: determinegradeplacebo controlledtreatediv
  Phrases that lowered it: mmhgvisitbloodscreeningeffect
• Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
• Has a data monitoring committee: not given (lowers risk) · Design
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 292 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 7.6% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Sponsor's past trials: 1008 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Number of arms: 4 (lowers risk) · Design
• Blinding: double (raises risk) · Design
• Maximum age: 65 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Primary purpose: basic science (lowers risk) · Design
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• TC-5214 as Augmentation Therapy in Patients With Refractory Hypertension NCT00899977 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 8% of active trials terminated
• Dose-finding Study With ACT-132577 (Aprocitentan) in Participants With Essential Hypertension NCT02603809 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 12% of active trials completed
• Study of Nifedipine GITS and Candesartan Combination Compared to Monotherapy in Patients With Essential Hypertension NCT01303783 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 26% of active trials completed
• Irbesartan and Amlodipine Combination in Controlling Blood Pressure NCT00950066 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 17% of active trials completed
• A Study to Evaluate the Efficacy and Safety in Participants With Uncontrolled Hypertension on Two or More Medications Including Participants With Resistant Hypertension NCT07790120 · started 2024 · scored riskier than 14% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.