Brentuximab Vedotin and Combination Chemotherapy in Treating Older Patients With Previously Untreated Stage II-IV Hodgkin Lymphoma
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 19% for any early termination, 9% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 26% of the time (3,728 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2020-05-26, after 2011-11-30 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2020-05-26. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 18.8% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: patients mustregistrationstagemelanomaradiation
Phrases that lowered it: breast cancermmlymphomaformhepatitis virus -
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 92 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Collaborators: 2 (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past trials: 170 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Minimum age: 60 (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 95.1% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
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Drugs with FDA adverse-event history: 4 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 21.8% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 2 (typical: 0)
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 60 (typical: 18)
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 170 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 18.8% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 92 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 4 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 14681 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 3406 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 95.1% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 21.8% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, immunology, hematology
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- brentuximab vedotin, dacarbazine, doxorubicin, vinblastine
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- BRENTUXIMAB VEDOTIN as Pre-ASCT Induction Therapy in R/R HL Patients Non Responding to IGEV NCT02244021 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 67% of active trials completed
- Brentuximab Vedotin, Ifosfamide, Carboplatin, and Etoposide in Treating Patients With Relapsed or Refractory Hodgkin Lymphoma NCT02227199 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 67% of active trials completed
- Brentuximab Vedotin as Consolidation Treatment in Patients With Stage I/II HL and PET Positivity After 2 Cycles of ABVD NCT02298283 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 87% of active trials completed
- Brentuximab Vedotin and Bendamustine for the Treatment of Hodgkin Lymphoma and Anaplastic Large Cell Lymphoma (ALCL) NCT01657331 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 98% of active trials completed
- Brentuximab Vedotin in Refractory/Relapsed Hodgkin Lymphoma Treated by ICE NCT02686346 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 83% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.