Pomalidomide for Kaposi Sarcoma in People With or Without HIV
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 26% for any early termination, 13% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 30% of the time (96 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2022-05-17, after 2012-01-10 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2022-05-17. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: or equalequal togreater thancellseffective
Phrases that lowered it: participantscopies mlpharmacokineticsclinicalhiv infection -
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Sponsor's past termination rate: 12.1% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Phase: 1/2 (raises risk) · Design
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 295 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Sponsor type: government (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 100% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Sponsor's past trials: 563 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Responsible party: principal investigator (lowers risk) · Design
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 0% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design
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Design: sequential (lowers risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1/2 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- non randomized (typical: randomized)
- Design
- sequential (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- principal investigator (typical: sponsor)
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 5 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- government (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 563 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 12.1% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 295 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 3 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 3 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 100% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 0% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, infectious disease
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- pomalidomide
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Pomalidomide in Treating Patients With Kaposi Sarcoma and Human Immunodeficiency Virus Infection NCT03601806 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 33% of active trials completed
- Lenalidomide in Treating Patients With AIDS-Associated Kaposi's Sarcoma NCT01057121 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 60% of active trials completed
- PTC299 in Treating Patients With HIV-Related Kaposi Sarcoma NCT00686842 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 56% of active trials terminated
- Bortezomib in Treating Patients With Relapsed or Refractory AIDS-Related Kaposi Sarcoma NCT01016730 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 52% of active trials completed
- Pilot Study of Liposomal Doxorubicin Combined With Bevacizumab Followed by Bevacizumab Monotherapy in Adults With Advanced Kaposi s Sarcoma NCT00923936 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 54% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.