Study to Evaluate Switching From Regimens Consisting of a Nonnucleoside Reverse Transcriptase Inhibitor Plus Emtricitabine and Tenofovir DF to the Elvitegravir/Cobicistat/Emtricitabine/Tenofovir DF Single-Tablet Regimen in Virologically Suppressed, HIV-1 Infected Patients
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 9% for any early termination, 3% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 6% of the time (876 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2014-12-31, after 2011-12-31 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2014-12-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
-
Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: therapypriorreceivingcarcinomaserum
Phrases that lowered it: participantsparticipantinfectedevaluateantiretroviral -
Sponsor's past termination rate: 17.1% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
-
Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 16.4% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
-
Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
-
Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 60 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
-
Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 98.5% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Sponsor's past trials: 105 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Drugs with FDA adverse-event history: 3 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
-
Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 3 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 105 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 17.1% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 60 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 3 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 268 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 121 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 98.5% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 16.4% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- infectious disease, immunology, urogenital
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- cobicistat, elvitegravir, emtricitabine tenofovir disoproxil
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Study to Evaluate Switching From Regimens Consisting of a Ritonavir-boosted Protease Inhibitor Plus Emtricitabine/Tenofovir Fixed-Dose Combination to the Elvitegravir/Cobicistat/Emtricitabine/Tenofovir DF Single-Tablet Regimen in Virologically Suppressed, HIV-1 Infected Patients NCT01475838 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 12% of active trials completed
- Study to Evaluate Switching From a Regimen Consisting of the Efavirenz/Emtricitabine/Tenofovir Disoproxil Fumarate Single-Tablet Regimen (STR) to the Emtricitabine/Rilpivirine/Tenofovir Disoproxil Fumarate STR NCT01286740 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 17% of active trials completed
- Study to Evaluate Switching From Regimens Consisting of a Ritonavir-boosted Protease Inhibitor (PI) and Two Nucleoside Reverse Transcriptase Inhibitors (NRTIs) to a Fixed-dose Tablet Containing Emtricitabine/Rilpivirine/Tenofovir DF NCT01252940 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 8% of active trials completed
- Phase 3 Open-Label Study to Evaluate Switching From Optimized Stable Antiretroviral Regimens Containing Darunavir to Elvitegravir/Cobicistat/Emtricitabine/Tenofovir Alafenamide (E/C/F/TAF) Fixed Dose Combination (FDC) Plus Darunavir (DRV) in Treatment Experienced HIV-1 Positive Adults NCT01968551 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 9% of active trials completed
- Study to Evaluate the Safety and Efficacy of a Single Tablet Regimen of Emtricitabine/Rilpivirine/Tenofovir Disoproxil Fumarate Compared With a Single Tablet Regimen of Efavirenz/Emtricitabine/Tenofovir Disoproxil Fumarate in HIV-1 Infected, Antiretroviral Treatment-Naive Adults NCT01309243 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 8% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.