Efficacy and Safety of Trastuzumab, Capecitabine y Oxaliplatine as Treatment Gastric Cancer Metastatic (HER2)Positive
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 20% for any early termination, 12% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 16% of the time (1,198 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2015-05-31, after 2011-08-31 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2015-05-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: her2metastaticpatientcancertrastuzumab
Phrases that lowered it: and safetyefficacy andsafety ofthe efficacyliver -
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past termination rate: no earlier finished trials (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 0 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
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Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past trials: 0 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Blinding: none (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 24.2% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Drugs with FDA adverse-event history: 3 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 2 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 0 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- no earlier finished trials (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 0 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 3 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 26783 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 5477 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 93.8% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 24.2% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- none of the 14 tracked areas
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- capecitabine, oxaliplatin, trastuzumab
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Trastuzumab in Combination With Capecitabine and Oxaliplatin(XELOX) in Patients With Advanced Gastric Cancer(AGC): Her+XELOX NCT01396707 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 40% of active trials completed
- A Study to Evaluate the Efficacy and Safety of Trastuzumab in Combination With Capecitabine and Oxaliplatin as First-line Chemotherapy for Inoperable, Locally Advanced or Recurrent and/or Metastatic Gastric Cancer NCT01364493 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 57% of active trials completed
- Trastuzumab Plus Docetaxel and Capecitabine For First Line Treatment of Her2-Positive Advanced Gastric Cancer NCT02004769 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 46% of active trials completed
- A Study of Trastuzumab in Combination With Capecitabine and Cisplatin in Patients With Tissue HER2- But Serum HER2+ AGC NCT04309578 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 90% of active trials completed
- CAPOX, Bevacizumab and Trastuzumab for Patients With HER2-Positive Metastatic Esophagogastric Cancer NCT01191697 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 98% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.