Combination Treatment Study in Subjects With Tophaceous Gout With Lesinurad and Febuxostat
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 11% for any early termination, 1% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 10% of the time (1,463 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2014-06-30, after 2012-01-31 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2014-06-30. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: subjectacuteassociationsubjects withdisease
Phrases that lowered it: and safetysafety ofarthritisevaluate theto evaluate -
Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Blinding: triple (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 16.7% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Maximum age: 85 (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 82.8% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Number of arms: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 2 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past trials: 3 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- triple (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 85 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 3 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 0% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 2 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 377 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 198 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 82.8% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 16.7% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- none of the 14 tracked areas
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- febuxostat, lesinurad
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Combining Lesinurad With Allopurinol in Inadequate Responders NCT01510158 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 26% of active trials completed
- Combining Lesinurad With Allopurinol in Inadequate Responders NCT01493531 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 20% of active trials completed
- Lesinurad Monotherapy in Gout Subjects Intolerant to Xanthine Oxidase Inhibitors NCT01508702 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 52% of active trials completed
- Efficacy and Safety of Extended Release and Immediate Release Febuxostat in Participants With Gout NCT02139046 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 40% of active trials completed
- Effect of Febuxostat on Joint Damage in Hyperuricemic Subjects With Early Gout NCT01078389 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 71% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.