A Study of Pegasys (Peginterferon Alfa-2a) Versus Untreated Control in Children With HBeAg Positive Chronic Hepatitis B
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 10% for any early termination, 1% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 6% of the time (876 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2021-10-18, after 2012-07-11 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2021-10-18. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Has a data monitoring committee: not given (lowers risk) · Design
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Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 7.5% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: subjectschronicscreeningdiseasehistory
Phrases that lowered it: weekschronic hepatitisgroupadvancedreceive -
Sponsor's past termination rate: 9.5% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Minimum age: 3 (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Maximum age: 17 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 74.9% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Number of arms: 4 (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past trials: 549 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 4 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- not given (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 3 (typical: 18)
- Maximum age
- 17 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 549 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 9.5% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 210 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 12182 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 5745 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 74.9% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 7.5% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- infectious disease, digestive
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- peginterferon alfa2a
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- A Study of Pegylated Interferon Alfa-2A in Combination With Lamivudine or Entecavir Compared With Untreated Control Group in Children With Hepatitis B Envelope Antigen (HBeAg)-Positive Chronic Hepatitis B (CHB) in the Immune-Tolerant Phase NCT02263079 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 19% of active trials completed
- A Study of Pegasys (Peginterferon Alfa-2a) Added to Nucleos(t)Ide Analogue Treatment in Participants With HBeAg-Negative Chronic Hepatitis B Genotype D Showing Stable Hepatitis B Virus (HBV) Deoxyribonucleic Acid (DNA) Suppression NCT01706575 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 14% of active trials completed
- Efficacy and Safety of Ypeginterferon Alfa-2b in HBeAg Positive Chronic Hepatitis B NCT01143662 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 27% of active trials completed
- Peg-interferon ADDed to an Ongoing Nucleos(t)Ide Based Treatment in Patients With Chronic Hepatitis B to Induce Decrease of HBs-Antigen NCT01524679 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 32% of active trials completed
- Efficacy and Safety of Peginterferon Alfa-2b in HBeAg Positive Chronic Hepatitis B NCT01760122 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 12% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.