Anfibatide Phase Ib-IIa Clinical Trial

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 16% for any early termination, 3% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 16% of the time (257 trials).

Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2015-07-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: patientscoronarymyocardialventricularpci
  Phrases that lowered it: investigatesafetypainreferenceperiod
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Phase: 1/2 (raises risk) · Design
• Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Maximum age: 70 (lowers risk) · Who can join
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 6 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Sponsor's past trials: 7 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Blinding: double (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Facilitation Through Aggrastat By drOpping or Shortening Infusion Line in Patients With ST-segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction Compared to or on Top of PRasugrel Loading dOse NCT01336348 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 50% of active trials completed
• The STREAM Percutaneous Coronary Intervention Anticoagulant Sub-study NCT00882635 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 81% of active trials completed
• Ticagrelor in Patients With ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction Treated With Pharmacological Thrombolysis NCT02298088 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 63% of active trials completed
• Prasugrel in Comparison to Clopidogrel for Inhibition of Platelet Reactivity in Patients With ST-elevation Myocardial Infarction (STEMI) NCT01338909 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 33% of active trials completed
• THALES - Acute STroke or Transient IscHaemic Attack Treated With TicAgreLor and ASA for PrEvention of Stroke and Death NCT03354429 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 72% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.