Study of the Safety and Local Tolerability of Intranasal Gel Formulations of XF-73
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 4% for any early termination, 0% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 4% of the time (217 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2015-08-31, after 2012-08-31 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2015-08-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: subjects withsubjectdiseasepriorchronic
Phrases that lowered it: healthyclinical trialkgformulationgel -
Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Has a data monitoring committee: not given (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past trials: 901 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 96 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Blinding: double (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Sponsor type: government (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 4.7% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Disease area, psychiatry: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 6 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- double (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- not given (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 1
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 45 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- Yes (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- government (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 901 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 4.7% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 96 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 0 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- No (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 0 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 0 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- no FAERS history (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- no FAERS history (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- infectious disease
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- none matched
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Study of the Nasal Decolonisation of Staphylococcus Aureus (SA) and the Safety and Tolerability of XF-73 Nasal Gel in Healthy Subjects NCT02282605 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 4% of active trials completed
- A Study to Evaluate the Safety and Efficacy of 3% LTX-109 for Nasal Decolonisation of Staphylococcus NCT04767321 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 5% of active trials completed
- Bioequivalence Study of Azelastine Hydrochloride/ Fluticasone Propionate 137 Microgram/50 Microgram Nasal Spray and Dymista Nasal Spray NCT06180083 · started 2023 · scored riskier than 0% of active trials completed
- Single-Ascending Dose Study to Assess the Safety, Tolerability, and Pharmacokinetics of YJ001 in Healthy Volunteers NCT05451667 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 4% of active trials completed
- Single Dose Pharmacokinetics of Intranasal Fluticasone Delivered by a Fixed Combination With Azelastine (MP29 02) in Comparison to Two Different Fluticasone Nasal Sprays NCT01194622 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 1% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.