GP VS TP in the Treatment of Advanced Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma in Northwest China
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 14% for any early termination, 6% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 16% of the time (1,198 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2013-10-31, after 2012-05-31 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2013-10-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: advancedlocallystageconcurrentprior
Phrases that lowered it: trialcisplatinpatientsclinicalhepatic -
Sponsor's past termination rate: no earlier finished trials (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Responsible party: principal investigator (lowers risk) · Design
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Maximum age: 69 (lowers risk) · Who can join
-
Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 22.6% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 96.0% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Blinding: none (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 7 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- principal investigator (typical: sponsor)
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 3 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 69 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 0 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- no earlier finished trials (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 7 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 3 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 28641 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 5771 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 96.0% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 22.6% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- none of the 14 tracked areas
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- cisplatin, docetaxel, gemcitabine
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Induction Cisplatin and Capecitabine Followed by Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy for Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma NCT03427359 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 45% of active trials completed
- Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy With Nedaplatin Versus Cisplatin in Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma NCT01540136 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 19% of active trials completed
- Induction Chemotherapy With Nab-paclitaxel, Cisplatin and Fluorouracil for Locoregionally Advanced Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma NCT04004871 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 38% of active trials completed
- Nedaplatin in Treatment for Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma NCT04834206 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 41% of active trials completed
- Concurrent Cisplatin Chemoradiation With or Without Capecitabine as Adjuvant Chemotherapy in Local Advanced High Risk Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma: Randomized Control Clinical Trial NCT02143388 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 51% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.