Perioperative vs Postoperative Chemotherapy + Bevacizumab in Colorectal Cancer, Liver Mets
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 12% for any early termination, 9% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 26% of the time (3,728 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2018-06-30, after 2012-06-30 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2018-06-30. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: bevacizumabchemotherapyresectionmetastaseshepatic
Phrases that lowered it: patients who20in patientswithin monthsmonths before -
Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Minimum age: 20 (lowers risk) · Who can join
-
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 117 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Responsible party: principal investigator (lowers risk) · Design
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past trials: 101 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Maximum age: 80 (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 94.8% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Blinding: none (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- principal investigator (typical: sponsor)
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 1
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 20 (typical: 18)
- Maximum age
- 80 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 101 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 0% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 117 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 21508 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 4474 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 94.8% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 22.8% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, digestive
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- bevacizumab
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Study Comparing Pathological Responses Observed on Colorectal Cancer Metastases Resected After Preoperative Bevacizumab With FOLFOX or FOLFIRI. NCT01858649 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 93% of active trials completed
- Neoadjuvant FOLFOX6 + Cetuximab in Patients With Colorectal Cancer and Unresectable Liver Metastasis NCT00743678 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 44% of active trials completed
- FOLFOXIRI With or Without Bevacizumab as First-line Treatment for Unresectable Liver-only Metastatic Colorectal Cancer Patients With RAS Mutation-type NCT02350530 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 48% of active trials completed
- A Study of Avastin (Bevacizumab) in Combination With mFOLFOX-6 or FOLFOXIRI in Patients With Metastatic Colorectal Cancer. NCT00778102 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 61% of active trials completed
- Liver Surgery and Chemotherapy in Treating Patients With Colorectal Cancer With Liver Metastases That Can Be Removed by Surgery and Lung Metastases That Cannot Be Removed by Surgery NCT02738606 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 86% of active trials terminated
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.